Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The inverted yield curve between the U.S. 2 Year Treasury yield (US2Y) and the U.S. 10 Year Treasury yield (US10Y) reached its closest level to becoming un-inverted in 9-months on Thursday, as the ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

The longest inverted yield curve on record may finally be in the rearview mirror. The yield on the 2-year note closed at 3.651%, according to Tradeweb, lower than the 10-year yield, which settled at 3 ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Labor-market worries are driving the yield on the two-year Treasury note slightly below the 10-year yield, threatening a run that stretches back to mid-2022. An inverted yield curve, in which ...

Leading economic indicators, such as the inverted yield curve, have warned that a recession is imminent. But these gauges are misleading amid strength in credit conditions, Ed Yardeni wrote on Monday.

As of early March 2025, investors—and consumers—have once again begun to feel skittish about the possibility of an impending ...

The 10-year Treasury yield eclipsed its 2-year counterpart on Thursday morning, putting the Treasury yield curve in positive territory once more on an intraday basis. Inversions of the yield curve ...